Values Voters Prevail In Spanish Election
Voters holding strong moral values have prevailed in recent Spanish elections.
Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero and his Socialist party will again lead Spain.
Prime Minister Zapatero ran on his first-term record.
This record included legalizing gay marriage, making it easier to get a divorce, pulling Spanish troops out of Iraq and allocating a larger share of the Spanish budget to the needs of the poor.
The Spanish public followed the right course and returned Mr. Zapatero to office.
Here is a story about the election.
Photo Essay In Favor Of Voting
Hugo Chavez does it ( Regardless of if he is sincere or not) —
People have been doing it for a long time–
And, yes, sometimes it is meaningless—
Yet often the right to vote has come at a high cost ( Blacks voting in New Orleans after the Civil War.) —
So if you live in a primary state why not take a spin of the wheel tomorrow—
And cast a ballot.
Republicans Won After Civil War Was Over—Can Modern Republicans Win Without 9/11?
I recently read the following in Congressional Quarterly’s Guide To U.S. Elections. It is about the 1868 election of Republican Ulysses Grant over Democrat Horatio Seymour of New York–
” With Grant’s ascension to the presidency in 1869, the Republican Party entered a new era—what the German sociologist Max Weber would have called a shift from “charismatic” to “rational” institutional authority. In other words, the party shifted its devotion from a great moral cause to its own survival as an organization. It had begun as a coalition of activists fervently opposed to the expansion of slavery (many opposed slavery itself) and to the rebellion of Southern states from the Union, The Republicans 1868 victory under Grant was the first not dominated wholly by crisis conditions.
Reading this got me thinking about Republican success in the elections of 2002 and 2004. Those elections, especially 2002 when Republicans won back the Senate, seemed to be run under the shadow of the events of September 11, 2001.
In 2006, with 9/11 five years past and the War in Iraq going badly, Democrats made strong gains in both Houses of Congress. The crisis atmosphere from 9/11 was gone and with it , so it appears, was the Republican advantage President Bush gained after the attacks.
President Grant won reelection in 1872 and Republicans held the electoral upper-hand for much of time until the Great Depression. Republicans had the electoral base to withstand the passing of the crisis.
While it’s early in this campaign season and a national security type issue –either real or contrived by the Bush administration—might help Republicans, the 2006 election, and the early indicators for 2008, suggest that Republicans may struggle for a time without the ability to run on 9/11.
History Of The South Carolina Primary
Republicans and Democrats are campaigning hard in South Carolina.
Republicans vote in that state on January 19. Democrats vote on January 26.
Above is the state seal of South Carolina. In the first circle the words mean–“Ready in soul and resource.” In the second circle the words mean–“While I breathe I hope.”
Here is a link to some basic facts about South Carolina. The population of South Carolina is roughly 4.4 million.
Beginning with 1980, South Carolina’s Presidential nominating primary has played an important role in selecting Republican nominees.
Every winner of the Republican primary in South Carolina since 1980 has gone on to win the nomination of his party. In a number of these instances, the South Carolina win played a direct role in the nomination victory.
In 2008, this primary is important for both parties.
The origin of South Carolina as a force in Republican Presidential politics can be traced back to the political consultant Lee Atwater. In 1980, Mr. Atwater helped get the South Carolina primary scheduled early in the campaign season to help Ronald Reagan. (Photo below.)
Mr. Atwater was an architect of the first George Bush’s “Willie Horton” strategy against Mike Dukakis.
Governor Reagan won the 1980 primary with 55% of the vote in a test against former Texas Governor John Connally. Mr. Connally ran a distant second at 30%.
In 1988, Mr. Atwater again used South Carolina to aid his candidate.
This time it was Mr. Reagan’s Vice President, George H.W. Bush.
South Carolina voted three days before much of the rest of the South did on so-called “Super Tuesday” March 8. Bush scored a convincing win in South Carolina over his main Republican challenger, Robert Dole of Kansas. (Photo below) This helped set the tone for a Bush sweep of the South on the big primary day 72 hours later.
The timing of the South Carolina primary has been critical to it’s influence. Scheduled as the first primary in the South and conducted a few days before Super Tuesday, candidates have seen the state as a springboard to subsequent primary tests.
In these years, Democrats were holding a South Carolina caucus instead of a primary. Intended or not, this fact denied Jesse Jackson likely primary victories in 1984 and 1988. Reverend Jackson was South Carolina caucus winner in 1988.
Jesse Jackson grew up in Greenville, South Carolina.
South Carolina has a substantial black population and a majority of South Carolina’s Democrats are black.
In 1992, a strong showing by President Bush over Pat Buchanan (photo below) helped dash Mr. Buchanan’s hope of winning strong Southern support for his White House bid.
For 1996, while the slightly more moderate Mr. Dole might not seem a total fit for South Carolina Republicans, two former GOP governors of South Carolina helped orchestrate a convincing Dole win over, again, Pat Buchanan. This win helped solidify Mr. Dole’s status as the frontrunner.
By 2000, Karl Rove (photo below), was running the Republican dirty tricks operation. Mr. Atwater died in 1991.
George W. Bush’s campaign questioned the sanity of rival John McCain. False rumors were spread about Senator McCain’s health. Leaflets were distributed calling McCain the “fag candidate.” This apparently because Senator McCain had met with the gay Log Cabin Republican group. (logo below)
Democrats have held a South Carolina primary in 1992 and 2004.
Bill Clinton was the easy winner in 1992.
John Edwards, who was born in South Carolina, was the 2004 winner. The win did little to help Senator Edwards take the nomination.
Al Sharpton (photo below) had hoped that black voters would rally to his candidacy.
They did not.
Below is a picture of the Sabel Palmetto tree. This is the state tree of South Carolina.
Texas Liberal is going to be your leading source for political history blogging in 2008. Please click here for a variety of political history posts including a history of the upcoming Florida primary.
An Early History Of The New Hampshire Primary
The first New Hampshire primary was held in 1916. This was 4 years after Presidential primaries were held for the first time in 1912.
The 1916 New Hampshire was not first in the nation. It was held one week after the Indiana primary.
The Democratic winner was a slate of delegates committed to President Woodrow Wilson. President Wilson (photo above) was the only candidate. New Hampshire Republicans choose an uncommitted slate of delegates.
The 1920 New Hampshire primary, the first contested Granite State primary, was also the first primary of the election season. It was held on March 9. New Hampshire has held the first primary ever since.
The names of individual candidates did not appear on the 1920 New Hampshire ballot. Instead, voters selected delegates who were committed to specific candidates or who at that point were uncommitted.
The Republican winner in New Hampshire was Major General Leonard Wood. Wood ( below) was from New Hampshire. General Wood had served as Army Chief of Staff under President William Howard Taft. He was later passed over as commander of US forces in World War I. Black Jack Pershing got that job.
For Democrats, delegates committed to Herbert Hoover (Below with John Kennedy in 1960) won a plurality of support. Hoover had led the U.S. relief effort for Europe after the War.
Just as Dwight Eisenhower received a small number of Democratic primary votes in 1948, Mr. Hoover in 1920 was popular leader of uncertain political allegiance. Both Mr. Hoover and General Eisenhower would go on to win the White House as Republicans.
Neither General Wood nor Mr. Hoover would be nominated in 1920. Nor would the leading overall primary vote-getters of 1920 be nominated.
Republican top vote-winner Senator Hiram Johnson (below) of California lost his fight to Senator Warren Harding of Ohio. On the Democratic side, Woodrow Wilson’s terrible red-baiting Attorney General Mitchell Palmer of New Jersey was defeated by Governor James Cox of Ohio.
Progressive Republican Senator Johnson, Teddy Roosevelt’s running mate on the 1912 Bull Moose ticket, would have been the superior candidate over Mr. Palmer.
Who is to say that some years from now the Republican party will not be the party of the left and the Democratic party the party of the right? The parties shift and evolve over time.
It would be many years before presidential primaries had the lead role in selecting nominees.
Facts, Views & Bloggers On The Trouble In Kenya
Folks in Kenya are slaughtering each other.
Straight out the Nazi playbook of burning synagogues, a church full of people was burned in the Kenyan city of Eldoret. 30 people were burned to death.
The pretense is the disputed outcome of the recent Presidential election.
Closer to the heart of the matter may be long standing ethnic and tribal divisions.
From The BBC—
Ethnic tension, which has dogged Kenyan politics since independence in 1963, is widely believed to be behind the violence.
With patronage and corruption still common, many Kenyans believe that if one of their relatives is in power, they will benefit directly, for example through a relative getting a civil service job.
The current tensions can be traced back to the 1990s, when the then President Daniel arap Moi was forced to introduce multi-party politics.
Below is a picture of the President of Kenya—Mwai Kibaki. When Mr Kibaki took office in 2002, he was supposed to bring fresh life to Kenyan democracy after the long and corrupt rule of Daniel arap Moi.
That has not worked out so well.
Here is profile of opposition candidate Raila Odinga. Mr. Odinga does not fully seem like a committed democrat either.
Here is the blog Kenyan Pundit written by Harvard law student Ory Okolloh.
Insight Kenya is a blog written from an oppostion view. It has a number of pictures of the current conflict.
What An African Woman Thinks is done quite well I feel. African Woman is a blogger who does not know what way to turn in the ongoing violence.
Here is the Kenyan Newspaper The Standard.
Here is the beginning of the Amnesty International assessment of Kenya.
Here is the beginning of the editorial on the election from The Economist—
THE decision to return Kenya’s 76-year-old incumbent president, Mwai Kibaki, to office was not made by the Kenyan people but by a group of hardline Kikuyu leaders. They made up their minds before the result was announced, perhaps even before the opposition candidate, Raila Odinga, had opened up a lead in early returns from the December 27th election. It was a civil coup.
The planning was meticulous. All that was needed were the extra votes to squeak past Mr Odinga in what had been a closely and decently contested election. That was why returns from Central Province, Mr Kibaki’s fiercely loyal Kikuyu heartland, were inexplicably held back. And why, in some constituencies, a large number of voters mysteriously decided just to vote in the presidential race, ignoring the parliamentary ballot. Real damage was done in Nairobi, the capital, by inflating the number of votes for Mr Kibaki, even after results were publicly announced. Election monitors were turned away in Nairobi while the tallying went on. But European Union (EU) monitors verified tens of thousands of votes pinched in this way. Mr Odinga’s supporters were not innocent either. There were serious irregularities in his home province of Nyanza and probably ballot stuffing on his behalf elsewhere.
Here are some basic facts about Kenya from the BBC—
- Full name: The Republic of Kenya
- Population: 34.3 million (UN, 2005)
- Capital: Nairobi
- Area: 582,646 sq km (224,961 sq miles)
- Major languages: Swahili, English
- Major religion: Christianity
- Life expectancy: 48 years (men), 46 years (women) (UN)
- Monetary unit: 1 Kenya shilling = 100 cents
- Main exports: Tea, coffee, horticultural products, petroleum products
- GNI per capita: US $540 (World Bank, 2005)
Below is a map of ethnic and language groups in Kenya. Look at all those colors. You don’t have to know what any of it means—I don’t—to figure out that these folks have to make the call to get along with each other or else terrible things will happen—Such as is happening right now.
These folks have a life-expectancy of 40-something and still some of them can’t kill each other fast enough. You really wonder about people sometimes.
Harris County Democratic Party Should Inject Greater Partisanship Into Houston City Council Races
I recently e-mailed Harris County, Texas Democratic Headquarters and asked if the Harris County Party endorses candidates for Houston City Council. (I said in my e-mail that I was a blogger and that I was going to write on this subject.)
Here is the reply I got from the helpful gentleman at headquarters—
The Harris County Democratic Party does not endorse in City Council Elections, HCDP Chair Gerry Birnberg’s policy is “HCDP does not endorse in city council elections, unless and until there is a run-off and there is only one Democratic candidate in the runoff“
Okay—No reason to step into a fight between Democrats.
(A runoff is held if no candidate wins 50% of the vote in the General Election.)
I followed up by asking if the party sends a mailer out informing rank-and-file Democrats about who is a Democrat on General Election Day.
Here was the reply—
Unfortunately, we do not have the funds for such a mailer. On a couple of occasions where we have endorsed in the run-off, we have sent postcards to folks who voted in the first election and also in the last Democratic primary, where the Democratic candidates in the run-off have provided funds for such a mailing.
I understand the party may not have the money this time around. Fine.
What I’d ask is for the Harris County Democratic Party to consider injecting a greater degree of partisanship into Houston City Council elections in the future and, also, to consider raising funds to promote Democratic Council candidates in 2009.
Houston Council elections may officially be non-partisan, but political parties can send any mailing they wish. Or run any radio ad they wish. Democrats are a majority in Houston and this majority should be worked on Election Day.
Partisan identification gives voters a shorthand on what to expect from candidates. Within that identification, candidates still have the ability to carve out specific profiles and stances on important issues that set them apart from a party-line.
The current so-called non-partisan system of voters selecting five at-large Council members and a district Councilperson with musical chairs six-year terms, works against the interests of democracy and against the interests of the majority party in Houston.
People should know who they are voting for. I’d be happy to donate myself for this purpose.
Let’s have no more Michael Berry-types filling at-large seats on Houston City Council.
Turning 40—Amazingly, Nearly 10,000 People Once Supported Me For Cincinnati Board Of Education
This is part of a Texas Liberal series of reminisces as I turn 40 this week.
Amazingly, in 1997 almost 10,000 voters thought I should be elected to serve on the Cincinnati Board of Education. ( The picture is of Cincinnati in 1862.)
Among 12 candidates I finished ninth. The top four were elected. I was glad not to finish last and felt I’d done well given my resources. I think I raised about $3,500.
I ran because I thought it might be fun.
It was fun. I enjoyed going to community councils and making my case. I enjoyed having friends help gather ballot access signatures and come out with me on campaign appearances.
My main issue was corporate involvement in Cincinnati schools and corporate control over members of the incumbent board. Large Cincinnati companies were heavily involved with the schools at the time. I suggested this compromised the board’s advocacy for students in the district.
“We’ve got to take back this school board from Kroger’s and Procter and Gamble!”
An issue in 1997 was the Cincinnati board joining other big city Ohio boards in pushing a lawsuit that would have helped equalize funding between urban and more affluent suburban districts. I believe Cincinnati was the only big city board not supporting the lawsuit.
I was endorsed by the local UAW and AFL-CIO. I was endorsed by a few other unions, but I can’t remember which ones specifically. I was also endorsed by Stonewall Cincinnati.
I had nice union made bumper stickers and union printed brochures. I cut a radio ad I think I had enough money to run about 30 times.
I was not endorsed by the Hamilton County Democratic Party. I was asked to interview but I said no. I felt the county party had done a lousy job in assisting the poor and average working people and, also, was a creature of corporate money and sleazy donors. Today, I suppose, I would likely do the interview
I felt I served the public by running for the Cincinnati Board of Education and I remain appreciative of people who voted for me and of the friends who helped me with the campaign.
Turning 40—The One Damn Time I Failed To Vote In 22 Years As Eligible Voter
This is part of a Texas Liberal series of reminisces as I turn 40 this week.
Just once in my life have I failed to vote. It was some type of hospital bond issue maybe 20 years ago in Hamilton County, Ohio. It was the only issue on a special election ballot. That is at least how I recall it.I did not give the matter much thought until a professor criticized the low voter turnout for the issue during a class on Canadian politics I was taking.
Since that day in class, I have often thought about my perfect voting record for primaries, special elections and general elections—Perfect except for one damn vote.
Anyone Getting Along Anywhere Is Good News—Free Elections In Mauritania
The multi-ethnic North African nation of Mauritania is conducting its first fully free elections since independence in 1960. Living in multi-ethnic Houston, I’m rooting for these folks to work it out in a peaceful way.
Mauritania has Arabs, Berbers and sub-Saharan blacks. Many of the people are nomads. Just over 3 million people live in Mauritania.
Anyone getting along anywhere is good news. And any country moving towards democracy is good news. Good luck to Mauritania.
Democratic Victory Was First Big Post-Clinton Win & It Is Time For New Non-Clinton Leadership
The big Democratic win in Tuesday’s election reverses much of the political damage of the Clinton years. The 1994 Republican landslide was in good part a result of the failures of the first two years of the Clinton Administration. Hillary Clinton’s botched attempt at health care reform was a big factor in those failures.
While Bill Clinton’s troubles were not the only reason Al Gore lost in 2000, they were certainly one of the more avoidable reasons.
The new Congressional majorities are a post-Clinton win for Democrats. They give Democrats a new platform to prove they can govern. They will also, hopefully, allow for new leaders to emerge. When we voted for Bill Clinton in 1992, were we really signing up for Hillary Clinton in 2008?
The Clintons’ got 8 years in the White House and a Senate seat representing the Great State of New York. They’ve done well. What the rank-and-file got is years of living with the consequences of Bill and Hillary.
Finally it can be said we have a post-Clinton Democratic Party. Let’s find some new people and move ahead.
Republicans Unable To Hold Long-Term Power In Washington Since 1929 Stock Crash
The Republican Party remains unable to keep a long-term hold on federal power. The 2006 election offered Republicans the chance to hold the White House and both chambers of Congress for six consecutive years. This would have been the longest stretch of Republican domination in Washington since the 1920’s. Instead, Democrats picked-up the House yesterday and may have won the Senate as well.
Since the Crash of 1929, Democrats have held the Presidency and both chambers of Congress for a total of 32 years. In that same time, Republicans have held such power for just over six years.
In the current period of so-called “divided government,” beginning in 1968 and the election of Richard Nixon with a Democratic Congress, it has been difficult for either party to get a firm grasp on power.
Democrats held the upper-hand for all of the Carter Administration and for the first two years of Bill Clinton’s first term. Republicans have been in control for the last four years. They also held power for a few months in 2001 before Jim Jeffords of Vermont left the Republican Party and turned over Senate control to Democrats.
The two parties remain locked in what can fairly be called a stalemate. Nearly 40 years of Republican gains since Nixon’s election have still not produced a majority party. On the other hand, Democrats must prove they can hold on to and expand what was won yesterday and find a way back to the White House in 2008.
On the verge of what would have been the longest uninterrupted hold on power in Washington since the Kennedy-Johnson years, the Republicans blew it. An argument can be made that Republicans have not yet fully recovered from the events of 1929.