Texas Liberal

All People Matter

Only So Many Republicans Out There

There is no doubt Republicans have effectively used the redistricting process to retain control of the House of Representatives. Republicans have been able to do this because they have won elections at the state level. They have earned the right to draw the lines. 

A less commented upon aspect of Republican control is how small GOP majorities have been since taking over the House in 1995.  The high-water mark for Republicans since 1995 has been 232 of the 435 seats. This was after the 2004 election.  218 is a majority. Republicans won 223 seats in 1998 and 221 seats in 2000.  By contrast, between the elections of 1932 and 1994 Democrats held 232 seats or fewer for a total of just eight years.

The flip side of skillful Republican district-drawing has been stretching Republican voters so thin that secure majorities are difficult to obtain. The good news is that, so far, there are only so many Republican voters. This fact, along with the horrible record of Republicans in government, makes the House vulnerable to a switch in party control this November.

Democrats and liberals looking for stronger showings in the next decade, should focus on races for Governor and the state legislatures in 2006 and in the two election cycles after 2006. It is these elections that will determine how district lines will be drawn after the 2010 census.  

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August 28, 2006 - Posted by | Elections, Politics

5 Comments »

  1. Send me all the e-mails you want! Doesn’t bother me at all.

    I am rethinking my “campaign” strategy this year. I got sucked into the name calling crap back in 2004 and now I feel a much more sutble “We need a change” message is the way to go. Basically all of my friends and family are voting Dem- but I find that co-workers that voted for Bush last time seem to be very dis-interested (early yet) or disillusioned. Ohio is ripe for the picking. I am wary though of the upcoming spear campaigns from Rove and company against Strickland, Brown, Cranley and others… I might re-think my strategy if those seem to be working. Any advice is welcome!

    Rob

    Comment by Rob Hamrick | August 29, 2006

  2. I think it serves little purpose to call anybody names. (In public at least.) It is better to put forth your own message and focus on the concrete reasons Republicans should be turned from power. The name-calling just leads to anger. You can’t control your actions and your words when you are angry. You’re not good for much when you are angry.

    Comment by neilaquino | August 29, 2006

  3. I think this year is different. Dems are excited and Repugs are disillusioned! In my opinion, there is nothing uglier than angry, disorganized democrats. If we (progressives) can stay focused and excited, that energy will rub off on others!

    Comment by Mark | August 29, 2006

  4. Take a page from the republican pundits. In your demeanor and words portray your position as a done deal and go forth with that confidence. Treat dissenters as they are, unserious people.
    If you’ll notice, even today, a republican spokesperson on news shows will still work that approach but they say things in response to a Dem or newsperson like “Listen, the American people know it would be disasterous to national security if we were to allow Iraq to descend into civil war” despite a plethora of polls stating otherwise.

    Comment by carsick | August 30, 2006

  5. [...] As I’ve pointed out previously in TexasLiberal, Republican majorities in the House of Representatives have been thin since the 1994 GOP takeover of Congress. The prospect of significant losses in 2006 may finally show Republicans that they can’t gain a secure majority in 21st century America by hating everybody. Though don’t bet on it—Hate is a large part of the identity of the modern Republican party.      [...]

    Pingback by Republicans Bash Many Different People And Now Wonder Why They Can’t Find Enough Folks To Vote For Them « TexasLiberal | October 10, 2006


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